{"id":"W4405577520","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-24-0007.1","title":"Uncertainty Hotspots in Global Hydrologic Modeling: The Impact of Precipitation and Temperature Forcings","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","topic":"Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ouranos; Canmore Museum and Geoscience Centre; University of Alberta; University of Calgary; University of Saskatchewan","funders":"Global Water Futures","keywords":"Climatology; Environmental science; Precipitation; General Circulation Model; Water cycle; Atmospheric sciences; Meteorology; Climate change; Geology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002496988,0.000622714,0.0005080395,0.001028789,0.0003316389,0.001279865,0.0004920332,0.0006013425,0.000572549],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005265428,0.0002588449,0.0009961544,0.00121814,0.0005124417,0.001698548,0.00131713,0.0008073266,0.00006863205],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006851579,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006714557,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01929379,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01459842,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994562,0.0002164986,0.00004083466,0.0001525659,0.00008545246,0.00004842124],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967914,0.001746242,0.0003929713,0.0005915451,0.0003285409,0.0001492456],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008767535,0.00006488647,0.1823705,0.00006851816,0.0004744957,0.0001163752,0.0001209285,0.7969757,0.001689022,0.002960403,0.001257197,0.01381431],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001608316,0.00002934121,0.08240442,0.00003522659,0.0000758606,0.00003429792,0.0001390186,0.9100072,0.001544874,0.004273058,0.001405929,0.00003479799],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.98412,0.0004873384,0.01097761,0.0006220588,0.00003856258,0.00001589212,0.002262528,0.0002615138,0.001214444],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958919,0.0001485287,0.002336478,0.00004502512,0.00002685057,0.000009395697,0.001450273,0.00003476662,0.00005678491],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01929379,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03836298,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009025584419686426,"score_gpt":0.2528864036507885,"score_spread":0.243860819231102,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}