{"id":"W4405711800","doi":"10.1007/s11538-024-01399-6","title":"Eruptive Insect Outbreaks from Endemic Populations Under Climate Change","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of Mathematical Biology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Mitacs; Genome Alberta; fRI Research; Genome Canada","keywords":"Outbreak; Ecology; Climate change; Bark beetle; Biology; Population; Bark (sound); Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001541453,0.0002079529,0.0004031888,0.0009817614,0.000497395,0.0008368008,0.0005828753,0.0004246095,0.004018129],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01201716,0.0002479664,0.0004696138,0.0007749253,0.0007323087,0.0009483154,0.0009756557,0.0008976189,0.0001305142],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005582051,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001514849,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002218205,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003077659,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997874,0.00005222018,0.0000193557,0.00004797864,0.00004253186,0.00005056456],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9899439,0.006958156,0.00178563,0.0004792216,0.0003698475,0.0004632705],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001496693,0.0002962152,0.7948733,0.000250938,0.0005773868,0.002348892,0.00133187,0.1235165,0.006551046,0.01584506,0.003015014,0.04989709],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008343386,0.0002405056,0.7224113,0.0000301259,0.0002793363,0.001593639,0.001143439,0.2603443,0.001457645,0.01141655,0.0009588285,0.00004077931],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9963934,0.00007372526,0.002170091,0.00009105296,0.000008473663,0.000009970143,0.000201737,0.00002133027,0.00103034],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990575,0.00006616597,0.0002295712,0.000008302265,0.00001992622,0.000007252713,0.0003424332,0.000004717005,0.0002641361],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004018129,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01344198,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04862940671487889,"score_gpt":0.2811011169667997,"score_spread":0.2324717102519208,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}