{"id":"W4405893448","doi":"10.1093/restud/rdae113","title":"The Long-Run Labour Market Effects of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Review of Economic Studies","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Tariff; Earnings; Economics; Competition (biology); Labour economics; Free trade agreement; Manufacturing; International economics; Free trade; Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001283862,0.0002058339,0.0007567575,0.00002734133,0.0001902281,0.00003073743,0.001004935,0.00003261349,0.0001153627],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002967187,0.0001155665,0.000327218,0.0001217093,0.0002366853,0.00006977632,0.000291133,0.0001452169,0.00005757382],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003371311,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001308326,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01071159,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03786224,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982947,0.00005436142,0.001052242,0.0002766708,0.00003774212,0.0002842847],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977893,0.0007581444,0.0004954616,0.0009101799,0.00001310293,0.00003376273],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001137632,0.00003017181,0.005191736,0.01499564,0.002312932,0.000003261298,0.0003398058,0.00004646041,0.000001283332,0.4576737,0.511041,0.008352674],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000336936,0.00005841828,0.05007529,0.004161742,0.000176503,0.000009372683,0.0002432366,0.0001786104,0.0001768277,0.03430677,0.9099589,0.0003173775],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.0333472,0.9229886,0.000002262679,0.0253596,0.002753932,0.0006836943,0.0002791159,0.000009094853,0.01457648],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4022255,0.5948026,0.00001130025,0.001155398,0.0001473931,0.00006340487,0.000001066905,0.0000179345,0.001575491],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4233669,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9958762,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03399380101748393,"score_gpt":0.2373928602938288,"score_spread":0.2033990592763448,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}