{"id":"W4406167133","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5086753","title":"<b>Fiscal Imbalances, Debt Sustainability and Macroeconomic Challenges in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Diagnosis of CEMAC Countries (2012-2022)</b>","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Université Laval","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Fiscal sustainability; Current account; Fiscal policy; Monetary economics; Debt; External debt; Fiscal adjustment; International economics; Government debt; Macroeconomics; Exchange rate","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004759287,0.000341002,0.0002169388,0.002146384,0.0008213374,0.002340266,0.0002000503,0.0007040583,0.007148743],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001469798,0.0001179392,0.0001995148,0.005931806,0.0004506817,0.001655315,0.001048142,0.0007239252,0.0007389361],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001305165,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002119256,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03151802,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03793759,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998251,0.00002246083,0.00001014619,0.00001755687,0.00003647098,0.00008829922],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993445,0.00009039679,0.0002280693,0.00001972747,0.0001451089,0.0001721817],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005414204,0.0001139599,0.3410256,0.0008905082,0.0001085596,0.002472385,0.005117056,0.002313379,0.001210801,0.06351361,0.3375797,0.2451131],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003562105,0.00007016131,0.6516458,0.0008409126,0.00005412368,0.0008538077,0.01412836,0.001933216,0.001536839,0.01789005,0.3109674,0.00004361129],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7080656,0.04711854,0.001260493,0.07782015,0.001794436,0.000130658,0.04470334,0.0001818325,0.1189249],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.941925,0.02375463,0.001366081,0.0009726236,0.000438573,0.0001067753,0.009006031,0.00005849453,0.02237178],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03151802,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0626691,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01720529189013603,"score_gpt":0.2249333020284397,"score_spread":0.2077280101383037,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}