{"id":"W4406186137","doi":"10.1016/j.jad.2025.01.026","title":"Day-to-day variability in sleep and activity predict the onset of a hypomanic episode in patients with bipolar disorder","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Affective Disorders","topic":"Bipolar Disorder and Treatment","field":"Medicine","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Dalhousie University; Centre for Addiction and Mental Health","funders":"National Institute of Mental Health; Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Bipolar disorder; Psychology; Hypomania; Bipolar II disorder; Psychiatry; Actigraphy; Sleep (system call); Clinical psychology; Medicine; Mania; Mood; Insomnia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002769378,0.0002727843,0.0003839642,0.0005168309,0.0004708385,0.0006079638,0.0001846028,0.0005877701,0.001340597],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001477619,0.0002591792,0.0003870916,0.0004331042,0.0002190275,0.0003922648,0.0003495172,0.0007516018,0.0001979255],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002987746,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001951398,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004609314,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01335252,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998208,0.00004403486,0.0000312167,0.0000291036,0.00003526822,0.00003955572],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991365,0.0001954748,0.0003405401,0.00002899799,0.00006102009,0.0002375889],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002872025,0.0000536921,0.9977711,0.000006312117,0.00005577943,0.0001071615,0.00005190718,0.00004104912,0.0005609436,0.0000106363,0.00007524362,0.0009788858],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003652633,0.00005066304,0.9995665,0.000002596315,0.000007705939,0.0001213326,0.00008213602,0.0001094522,0.00001757436,0.00001048577,0.00002626625,0.000001729319],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989281,0.0002878209,0.0000445164,0.00006150462,0.00002167616,0.000005887801,0.0001006135,0.000002438531,0.0005474506],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999496,0.00009443626,0.00005245973,0.00004147837,0.0000179033,0.000003292659,0.0001590785,0.000001352079,0.0001340966],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004609314,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009164989,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.002885869674142609,"score_gpt":0.2284644352930527,"score_spread":0.2255785656189101,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}