{"id":"W4406306880","doi":"10.1002/ecm.1642","title":"Explaining the divergence of population trajectories for two interacting waterfowl species","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecological Monographs","topic":"Avian ecology and behavior","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Institute of Food and Agriculture; Delta Waterfowl; Colorado State University","keywords":"Waterfowl; Ecology; Divergence (linguistics); Population; Biology; Geography; Habitat; Demography; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002300924,0.00007925751,0.0001225682,0.0000272473,0.0002992327,0.00001110342,0.0001965123,0.00005674746,0.001025176],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001521411,0.00004844888,0.00008635765,0.0001982196,0.0002176269,0.000107567,0.0001338008,0.00009413608,0.00001023532],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003216755,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000001994007,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002676024,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002566433,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993374,0.00005319626,0.0002026116,0.0001708307,0.00005840136,0.0001776],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993501,0.0004386203,0.00008203607,0.0001037645,0.00000733358,0.00001818964],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002975408,0.00006287122,0.9952327,0.000002675966,0.000007341804,5.80894e-7,0.0002537343,0.000216247,0.001192778,0.0005010878,0.0003578027,0.002142397],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001409688,0.0001025455,0.9943379,0.000006124899,0.00002078939,5.071029e-7,0.0005400938,0.0001141272,0.002392528,0.001677826,0.0006087297,0.00005791511],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9972274,0.000009867547,0.0005095974,0.0002271451,0.0004157719,0.0002539429,0.000004893884,0.00002431019,0.001327039],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984836,0.000003824799,0.000919573,0.00009639216,0.00001554498,0.00007634475,0.000007632628,0.000002313497,0.0003948056],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002084482,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999888,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02296490380325726,"score_gpt":0.2817035945183795,"score_spread":0.2587386907151222,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}