{"id":"W4406721302","doi":"10.1017/epi.2024.35","title":"Luck and normative achievements: Let not safety be our guide","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Episteme","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Luck; Normative; Psychology; Philosophy; Sociology; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005863236,0.0001903487,0.0003211764,0.00008618595,0.0005084369,0.0001142758,0.00018174,0.00007723728,0.0001254734],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00009694267,0.0001677418,0.0000914951,0.00003859886,0.0003129965,0.0002279169,0.0001231021,0.0002652039,0.00007741114],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005170859,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005883809,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000385254,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001267923,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987176,0.0001592697,0.0004354577,0.0002596657,0.000163591,0.0002644148],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992339,0.0001261228,0.0001327799,0.0002906188,0.0001578082,0.00005879678],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005028392,0.00008101993,0.0004166204,0.0002568862,0.0002034351,0.000006313379,0.02485717,0.000001833384,0.00009459445,0.8886979,0.0820912,0.00324277],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005343884,0.00005880819,0.0009095186,0.00007279985,0.00005825015,0.000001081101,0.009245287,0.00002533538,0.0001929359,0.006055764,0.982661,0.000184841],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01391681,0.0003823274,0.0006679012,0.04079968,0.00280963,0.0004246642,0.0003112881,0.0001237294,0.940564],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6791341,0.0002465162,0.0003603065,0.01491866,0.0007146909,0.00003655509,0.0001013592,0.00002558722,0.3044622],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9005698,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6840313,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04906550307172895,"score_gpt":0.3053013587497436,"score_spread":0.2562358556780147,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}