{"id":"W4406721302","doi":"10.1017/epi.2024.35","title":"Luck and normative achievements: Let not safety be our guide","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Episteme","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Luck; Normative; Psychology; Philosophy; Sociology; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008393266,0.0004223295,0.0005880313,0.001052986,0.003844665,0.006324704,0.001087617,0.003816054,0.004306305],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01295541,0.00030303,0.0004689752,0.0005272751,0.04753856,0.009254682,0.003869772,0.005950979,0.001101032],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003409908,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003211785,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002485913,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002494445,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9941357,0.003398211,0.0002469188,0.0006459232,0.001098173,0.0004749635],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9892847,0.006241955,0.0006934361,0.001564904,0.001569192,0.0006457457],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00000302591,0.000004643767,0.00004076082,0.000007658214,0.000001623683,0.00001347813,0.0004165815,0.00008154602,0.00002122501,0.9977432,0.000748876,0.0009174396],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003372525,0.00000396489,0.00003826121,0.00002656491,0.000001385568,0.00001658355,0.0002650564,0.0002061548,0.00009415798,0.9876146,0.01172444,0.00000538195],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04285033,0.003789813,0.1007508,0.1672232,0.0007853467,0.00006155302,0.0001410144,0.0002355506,0.6841623],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9657016,0.0007616307,0.01013036,0.006215093,0.0003360069,0.00008459538,0.00004386483,0.00007347895,0.01665328],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.008393266,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04438841,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04906550307172895,"score_gpt":0.3053013587497436,"score_spread":0.2562358556780147,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}