{"id":"W4406757207","doi":"10.1080/09700161.2025.2451001","title":"Hot Stakes in the Arctic: Global Rivalries and New Geopolitical Forces","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Strategic Analysis","topic":"Arctic and Russian Policy Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Geopolitics; The arctic; Arctic; Political science; International trade; Political economy; Economic geography; Geology; Geography; Economics; Oceanography; Law; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00607529,0.0003724976,0.0004952467,0.002187314,0.01417594,0.01941938,0.0009020611,0.003787884,0.00563022],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007014313,0.0002779917,0.00037747,0.00368749,0.02147658,0.01283742,0.007450876,0.005933324,0.0004425092],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007440628,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004373746,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02309587,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03700129,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968356,0.001480059,0.00007187623,0.0003326072,0.0005965401,0.0006832479],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.994976,0.002717088,0.0003908764,0.0002276519,0.0004569633,0.001231421],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007129709,0.00002746175,0.00483495,0.0001320548,0.00002264908,0.001283835,0.08911029,0.0004795186,0.0001828987,0.8302979,0.03873788,0.03481928],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001451083,0.00004181169,0.005865419,0.0005601384,0.00001610139,0.0007638048,0.233175,0.0005290264,0.000136764,0.3188643,0.439968,0.00006509246],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2134517,0.04247272,0.003865886,0.2657174,0.003897562,0.00002737248,0.0001730284,0.00005257749,0.4703417],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.967496,0.01039344,0.0005644408,0.01103797,0.001401577,0.00001434903,0.000065033,0.00004740311,0.008979858],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02309587,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05398577,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06937205048045099,"score_gpt":0.3695400877165283,"score_spread":0.3001680372360773,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}