{"id":"W4407029025","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5055075","title":"Self-Exciting Random Evolutions (SEREs) and Their Applications","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Statistical physics; Physics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001360303,0.0003360692,0.0005168227,0.0001552269,0.0004889761,0.0001253857,0.000434535,0.000267566,0.00001408687],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007701498,0.000277271,0.0001679662,0.0001637071,0.00004256879,0.00004525835,0.0003855768,0.003897272,0.000004902576],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006652952,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00342472,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001369611,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001791876,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972428,0.000088925,0.000555796,0.0003841115,0.0002076972,0.00152067],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978067,0.001107835,0.0003602779,0.000336504,0.0002621948,0.0001265373],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002390173,0.00007978323,0.00000264027,0.000329977,0.0003522362,6.546113e-7,0.0002075916,0.000009441503,0.000004588776,0.9832587,0.0001022362,0.01562821],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007374869,0.00005354881,0.000001122532,0.0001913253,0.0002706173,0.0002420013,0.001103239,0.01339617,0.000007498475,0.9828777,0.00086898,0.0002502952],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0004368559,0.007942013,0.9880893,0.0004454181,0.0001751864,0.0006368058,0.000107196,0.0001321899,0.002035041],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8264583,0.03300694,0.1322675,0.0002602362,0.002223226,0.001090306,0.0000681754,0.00017747,0.004447781],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8558217,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999679,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01626416292742455,"score_gpt":0.2953975704026248,"score_spread":0.2791334074752003,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}