{"id":"W4407254294","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5126086","title":"The Trap of Complexity in Experimentation","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Trap (plumbing); Computer science; Physics; Meteorology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02512634,0.00111128,0.002644721,0.002972581,0.003423261,0.009214611,0.001868297,0.005926963,0.01350215],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1066249,0.001244088,0.001209723,0.002068351,0.0424846,0.02884017,0.009169558,0.01047359,0.001643057],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004178393,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003794268,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001585296,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001059451,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9751633,0.01683536,0.0006073154,0.002172443,0.004369694,0.0008520129],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8200105,0.1584742,0.003584612,0.01297276,0.003165431,0.001792534],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003480756,0.00001482882,0.000261958,0.0001119826,0.00002183297,0.00002268975,0.000558604,0.001319346,0.0001123842,0.9895954,0.001323162,0.006622971],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001421273,0.000009119147,0.00006067786,0.00002835059,0.000003369416,0.00001048731,0.00006201214,0.001872357,0.00006309379,0.9955019,0.00236755,0.000006894964],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.04291788,0.01470726,0.5095311,0.1309347,0.001506154,0.0001795249,0.0003590909,0.0006639146,0.2992004],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9078366,0.003566334,0.0647807,0.006510995,0.0019036,0.0005865081,0.0001018099,0.0003789389,0.01433451],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02512634,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1328824,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1978309643137084,"score_gpt":0.4545142718267193,"score_spread":0.2566833075130109,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}