{"id":"W4407419080","doi":"10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104059","title":"Spillovers of US interest rates: Monetary policy &amp; information effects","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of International Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Northwestern University","keywords":"Economics; Monetary policy; Interest rate; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005388818,0.000149244,0.0004890381,0.001225902,0.00003127337,0.00008024784,0.000464398,0.00009975471,0.0002484785],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004776997,0.0001692334,0.0002806385,0.0001059171,0.00006351864,0.001367272,0.0000732959,0.0001906374,0.0001804733],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004064684,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008870653,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005610611,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0000403686,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981033,0.00001284623,0.001572066,0.0001151989,0.00002276029,0.0001738603],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978873,0.0001349726,0.001642736,0.0001920248,0.00006473252,0.00007826421],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007170608,0.0003091056,0.2529418,0.000239746,0.002098024,0.000004253548,0.001031797,0.1016271,0.0001259851,0.6101632,0.02190354,0.00883837],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004646434,0.0003277036,0.1950257,0.0002673782,0.00004742651,0.00008771956,0.0001457383,0.03701045,0.001323403,0.1244811,0.6360875,0.0005493556],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9688495,0.0005262988,0.002907065,0.002703195,0.002378874,0.0000990341,0.000172216,0.000005736223,0.02235811],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9941808,0.001677678,0.001450226,0.001722447,0.0003337464,0.00000179935,0.00002773761,0.000009162072,0.0005963801],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.614184,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6901138,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03170312945496252,"score_gpt":0.2548919308248276,"score_spread":0.2231888013698651,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}