{"id":"W4407594171","doi":"10.1371/journal.pclm.0000488","title":"Recent climate change strongly impacted the population dynamic of a North American insect pest species","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLOS Climate","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"","keywords":"Spruce budworm; Choristoneura fumiferana; Phenology; Climate change; Ecology; Population; Taiga; PEST analysis; Range (aeronautics); Vital rates; Ecosystem; Biology; Geography; Environmental science; Population growth; Tortricidae; Lepidoptera genitalia; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002609247,0.0001834099,0.0001242129,0.0002376543,0.0003338833,0.0005398644,0.0001444577,0.0002559247,0.001192344],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004911237,0.0001068897,0.0003669787,0.0003188958,0.0001714239,0.0004054746,0.0002805903,0.0002711756,0.00008890255],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005159361,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005234904,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05108649,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1138667,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999114,0.00002074554,0.000004853071,0.00003453614,0.00001449813,0.00001387812],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998368,0.00002857576,0.0000660058,0.00001377309,0.00003557793,0.00001930424],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003297846,0.00003794016,0.967885,0.0000598796,0.0001340407,0.0001514362,0.0002390615,0.01409614,0.004522247,0.0003582911,0.0005366707,0.01194627],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002523476,0.00003089344,0.9832638,0.0000105068,0.00005010557,0.00007495378,0.0002309265,0.01446006,0.0002045638,0.0001668182,0.001496876,0.000008033889],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9971026,0.0003687759,0.0008566594,0.0001410234,0.00001074095,0.000004488923,0.0003615718,0.00002483973,0.001129305],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990026,0.0002306009,0.0003257827,0.00003447922,0.000006516681,0.000002460809,0.0002353041,0.000002227421,0.0001600581],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9489135,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1015782,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01682668817732118,"score_gpt":0.2376181409640415,"score_spread":0.2207914527867203,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}