{"id":"W4407704700","doi":"10.1080/14790726.2025.2457418","title":"CentAIrus: the return of the centaur and the history of futures past","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"New Writing","topic":"Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Centaur; Futures contract; History; Art; Economics; Financial economics; Classics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009665207,0.0000567913,0.0001005518,0.00003133586,0.0001765804,0.00005262146,0.00120525,0.00002794921,0.00001125365],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002081156,0.00002465076,0.00007498308,0.0002973551,0.0006944258,0.00008664021,0.0005472741,0.0002029635,7.043141e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003437471,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001643148,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001542039,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001893944,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989163,0.0002156239,0.0002060961,0.0001643528,0.0003385224,0.0001591219],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987083,0.0005409755,0.00009352476,0.0005557971,0.0000639171,0.00003750091],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005031376,0.0000363429,0.003852486,0.00008256667,0.00003942785,0.000001553864,0.006274725,0.00001008736,0.003924119,0.7292024,0.1695952,0.08693086],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005447624,0.0001294751,0.06975558,0.001189156,0.00007453874,0.00003338596,0.00685852,0.03056555,0.02481641,0.6056254,0.2550272,0.0004771729],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3273322,0.039596,0.01678589,0.4270744,0.0126968,0.001943574,0.00001676422,0.0001397259,0.1744146],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9966305,0.00003990404,0.0002540671,0.001178588,0.0002017193,0.00000289728,1.914846e-7,0.000002037837,0.001690135],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6692983,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2558641,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02974277374712424,"score_gpt":0.2754464870516482,"score_spread":0.245703713304524,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}