{"id":"W4407715861","doi":"10.1017/sus.2025.9","title":"The polycrisis and the uncertainty possibility space","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Sustainability","topic":"Religion, Society, and Development","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Royal Military College Saint-Jean","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Space (punctuation); Environmental science; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02305089,0.0007516952,0.001403916,0.004535828,0.005095265,0.01550479,0.002391929,0.004618545,0.01079507],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04547174,0.0007108831,0.001726825,0.003270137,0.03827241,0.01581395,0.009796445,0.007751993,0.00064708],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007375744,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004188025,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002654408,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001833316,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9761179,0.01652021,0.0009734074,0.002153203,0.003278778,0.0009565776],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9025903,0.08406317,0.003717875,0.003962028,0.003846607,0.001819902],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000006013119,0.000004042079,0.00007943137,0.0000219077,0.000006405035,0.00004394149,0.0002172093,0.001073788,0.00001366453,0.9970113,0.0003975144,0.0011247],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003152244,0.000002486954,0.00003569905,0.00002247583,0.000002199027,0.00002113522,0.0001223037,0.001473176,0.00001628036,0.9963386,0.00195744,0.000004988809],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07252369,0.0118348,0.4934893,0.1282849,0.001125801,0.0002138777,0.0005941214,0.0002405129,0.291693],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9625345,0.001594754,0.0284177,0.001625855,0.0006853121,0.0002088771,0.0001081383,0.00004503123,0.00477976],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02305089,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1219062,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004798290208055404,"score_gpt":0.3085724974023384,"score_spread":0.3037742071942831,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}