{"id":"W4407897575","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5140193","title":"Biased Promotions","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic and Social Issues","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Inequality; Promotion (chess); Economics; Political science; Mathematics; Mathematical analysis","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007678657,0.0005939461,0.001439948,0.003382661,0.002042965,0.00443463,0.0009966063,0.002940212,0.06157286],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04965654,0.0006300924,0.0006543469,0.002540276,0.001547571,0.002358298,0.002027532,0.002968763,0.01458811],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002115585,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001520817,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001768514,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003416863,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9917024,0.001852262,0.0003347459,0.001744164,0.003033861,0.00133255],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9668893,0.01432528,0.004998465,0.006611204,0.005017184,0.002158584],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003274034,0.001012436,0.1327871,0.001513495,0.000715919,0.0009317654,0.002996822,0.004369611,0.01312565,0.3638169,0.1197459,0.3557105],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00072999,0.0009414062,0.3084832,0.000623382,0.0006891483,0.002725937,0.003496771,0.01919005,0.01080404,0.4336421,0.218469,0.0002048467],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4237815,0.006373457,0.02617855,0.01375128,0.001769032,0.000582752,0.003122905,0.0009895028,0.523451],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9301468,0.0009443966,0.002667295,0.002370776,0.0006575789,0.0001238488,0.0005517242,0.0001443045,0.06239325],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06157286,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2059817,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02659142951326909,"score_gpt":0.3380402863747379,"score_spread":0.3114488568614688,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}