{"id":"W4407947595","doi":"10.1038/s41537-025-00582-5","title":"Clinical prediction model for transition to psychosis in individuals meeting At Risk Mental State criteria","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Schizophrenia","topic":"Schizophrenia research and treatment","field":"Medicine","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary; Hotchkiss Brain Institute; McGill University","funders":"National Institute for Health and Care Research","keywords":"Psychosis; Psychology; Logistic regression; Clinical psychology; Schizophrenia (object-oriented programming); Global Assessment of Functioning; Scale (ratio); Psychiatry; Computer science; Machine learning","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02905723,0.001570702,0.002319138,0.00374555,0.0004891838,0.001988036,0.002430041,0.001916313,0.005360692],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0484382,0.0006489587,0.005712805,0.001833407,0.0006517728,0.001104093,0.001441206,0.002485573,0.0007540747],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001516582,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002414317,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01361343,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008427019,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9911044,0.006719302,0.000474675,0.00106899,0.0003935766,0.0002391129],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9609157,0.03433613,0.001693676,0.0005876108,0.002060471,0.0004063927],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.006066414,0.0008362965,0.5151753,0.007823874,0.0214566,0.001231969,0.001064669,0.2913928,0.0008700118,0.0104764,0.03208648,0.1115192],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00140627,0.001581428,0.06739289,0.002577814,0.01371636,0.0007368727,0.0004829258,0.876807,0.000411345,0.02739727,0.00731793,0.0001718908],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6212534,0.03967054,0.2744034,0.02123403,0.001525998,0.004093954,0.02662227,0.00219631,0.009000083],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9468546,0.001903153,0.03963091,0.0008639566,0.0001703076,0.00231151,0.006896035,0.00005909361,0.00131048],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02905723,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1536711,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03310807948625872,"score_gpt":0.3766634868775334,"score_spread":0.3435554073912747,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}