{"id":"W4408058598","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.28.25322945","title":"Estimating Population Counts for Dissemination Areas and Census Tracts in Canada from 2011 to 2021","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"Census and Population Estimation","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Saskatchewan Health; Saskatchewan Health Authority","funders":"","keywords":"Census; Geography; Demography; Population; Political science; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001885676,0.0001295894,0.0002138803,0.00008970408,0.00003892084,0.00002426444,0.00006422268,0.00009786073,0.00006542366],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0006954445,0.0001387209,0.0000223918,0.00005460249,0.00000300803,0.00003159188,0.0000493263,0.0001167002,0.000002034995],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002848022,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001376588,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2737559,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.4901077,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991322,0.00002875453,0.0003337596,0.0002366475,0.0001577634,0.000110894],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991142,0.0004164921,0.0001677023,0.0001771746,0.00007870875,0.00004578109],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006909439,0.0001033223,0.7923654,0.001687554,0.00006678316,0.000009659005,0.001570159,0.01118589,0.00005516458,0.0128818,0.02418987,0.1558153],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001651054,0.000004477803,0.7504691,0.0007632916,0.00004911375,4.723802e-7,0.00002797754,0.1895994,0.00003782353,0.05804673,0.0006095847,0.0002269462],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9838754,0.00006329716,0.01284614,0.0003832983,0.0009711336,0.0006486772,0.0006656109,0.00001715039,0.0005292944],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9572899,0.000003679768,0.04109627,0.00002657656,0.000112021,0.00006194466,0.001091643,0.00001336283,0.0003045812],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2163518,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7310802,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04063942116745289,"score_gpt":0.3373876263190519,"score_spread":0.2967482051515991,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}