{"id":"W4408058598","doi":"10.1101/2025.02.28.25322945","title":"Estimating Population Counts for Dissemination Areas and Census Tracts in Canada from 2011 to 2021","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"Census and Population Estimation","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Saskatchewan Health; Saskatchewan Health Authority","funders":"","keywords":"Census; Geography; Demography; Population; Political science; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002300512,0.0006223856,0.0005098131,0.005398741,0.002082802,0.001619219,0.001822397,0.000320206,0.004981021],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01109348,0.00036181,0.001079205,0.01010681,0.0004784265,0.0007428274,0.00169575,0.0009847081,0.001028694],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.04875332,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.09551441,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9975653,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9978745,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982669,0.0001756351,0.0001279187,0.0002864762,0.000741053,0.0004019464],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9935342,0.0003833629,0.000417219,0.0002830326,0.004876116,0.0005060844],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001859991,0.00005728726,0.6407035,0.0007948063,0.0004897713,0.000187588,0.002133574,0.01573991,0.0003419743,0.007114369,0.199317,0.1329342],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005074942,0.00002971295,0.8566748,0.000677711,0.0001833828,0.00008647979,0.003063997,0.02152985,0.0007050003,0.001550216,0.1153155,0.0001325647],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"dataset","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3462427,0.004961871,0.02593005,0.006157412,0.0002874478,0.001027255,0.5858665,0.001434988,0.02809189],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7557262,0.004212186,0.047118,0.001115903,0.00005579128,0.00139415,0.1748987,0.0002704581,0.01520865],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.04875332,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3537318,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04063942116745289,"score_gpt":0.3373876263190519,"score_spread":0.2967482051515991,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}