{"id":"W4408074363","doi":"10.31235/osf.io/2dazg_v1","title":"The Risk and Risk-free Rate of T-bills","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"European Monetary and Fiscal Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Risk analysis (engineering); Actuarial science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001212807,0.0001929715,0.0004001262,0.0001079203,0.0001222628,0.0001363196,0.0004811835,0.0001231855,0.00007041976],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003514874,0.0001402317,0.0001816983,0.00007935036,0.0002099757,0.00002934509,0.001695305,0.0007400071,0.0003892221],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001280922,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000008736034,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002432221,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001698384,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986887,0.00005797999,0.0006397821,0.0004071558,0.00001790216,0.0001885014],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983053,0.0002536833,0.0005161176,0.0008567115,0.00001442769,0.00005374619],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003349844,0.00003825697,0.1140936,0.0002947281,0.0006583986,0.00000508742,0.0008963901,0.0006539205,0.000001905924,0.8433176,0.0342782,0.005728423],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001259181,0.00003372162,0.08053344,0.00002628874,0.00004151498,6.887905e-7,0.00003471273,0.00239522,0.00002664063,0.8536327,0.06294677,0.0002023935],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6286839,0.04801214,0.0004478863,0.001306183,0.001237821,0.0003046271,0.00275072,0.00007036437,0.3171864],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.891341,0.0872257,0.0004357735,0.0001284359,0.0002825746,0.00001272545,0.00001306445,0.00005104975,0.02050973],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2966766,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5718481,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02153441987312567,"score_gpt":0.1966541392321936,"score_spread":0.1751197193590679,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}