{"id":"W4408227712","doi":"10.1175/jcli-d-24-0193.1","title":"Improved Optimal Fingerprinting Based on Estimating Equations Reaffirms Anthropogenic Effect on Global Warming","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Climate","topic":"Ecosystem dynamics and resilience","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Impact; Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Environmental science; Global warming; Climate change; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001098375,0.0001408766,0.0002349645,0.00006395821,0.0002983826,0.00006923537,0.0002493091,0.00005602663,0.00007455431],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004346624,0.0001048588,0.0001502966,0.0002698637,0.00006090808,0.0001206988,0.00009597463,0.0002090206,0.00003342907],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00034538,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003072628,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002620528,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001650727,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986513,0.00008703188,0.0004803116,0.0001877173,0.0003006301,0.0002929719],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988832,0.0004117471,0.0004329043,0.0001798313,0.00001795604,0.00007433922],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001693336,0.0001456245,0.04378337,0.00008783967,0.00002366147,0.00003875636,0.00004799118,0.898894,0.01250814,0.0002261237,0.00002216261,0.04405303],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005274205,0.0005670875,0.01127893,0.0005684319,0.00003202776,0.00001143571,0.00003014828,0.9853281,0.001478738,0.00004719388,0.0000262543,0.0001042593],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9407948,0.00001544495,0.05109716,0.0003243103,0.0006702632,0.0001497242,0.000005660346,0.00001814911,0.006924465],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9882871,0.000007019955,0.01150462,0.0001251991,0.00004801762,0.000002599742,7.271723e-7,0.000007396501,0.00001732627],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0864341,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4276017,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.005037141429751761,"score_gpt":0.2756495262206277,"score_spread":0.270612384790876,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}