{"id":"W4408408105","doi":"10.1016/j.esg.2025.100249","title":"Exploring plausible future scenarios of deep seabed mining in international waters","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth System Governance","topic":"Coastal and Marine Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Société et Culture; DSM; Fonds de recherche du Québec; International Sweeteners Association","keywords":"Seabed; Oceanography; Environmental science; Geology; Earth science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003064286,0.0004019465,0.0001453335,0.001109158,0.001918414,0.003936166,0.0007125268,0.001473931,0.003583141],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004618801,0.0002217458,0.0004194327,0.001482005,0.002523435,0.004098455,0.002018285,0.001143896,0.0001721526],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005753423,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002876029,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01033672,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03084852,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979814,0.001429278,0.00006895319,0.0001012802,0.0001799925,0.0002390733],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974737,0.001759101,0.0003254233,0.00009087921,0.0001843783,0.0001664468],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002107895,0.0001450274,0.02167718,0.000279391,0.00005214442,0.005586805,0.05773582,0.09258344,0.002270741,0.79136,0.003667867,0.02443084],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005695038,0.0001582432,0.01160218,0.0005709033,0.00005856909,0.0008160555,0.369536,0.121656,0.003038327,0.4017338,0.09063815,0.0001349316],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8452684,0.0003929605,0.03228645,0.008919511,0.00004419271,0.0003908805,0.001057585,0.00004293705,0.1115971],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.990499,0.0003071667,0.007506316,0.0000958919,0.000003370785,0.0001008593,0.000200188,0.000005856968,0.001281375],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01033672,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04174423,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01247483614174794,"score_gpt":0.1921036507156041,"score_spread":0.1796288145738562,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}