{"id":"W4408408105","doi":"10.1016/j.esg.2025.100249","title":"Exploring plausible future scenarios of deep seabed mining in international waters","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth System Governance","topic":"Coastal and Marine Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Société et Culture; DSM; Fonds de recherche du Québec; International Sweeteners Association","keywords":"Seabed; Oceanography; Environmental science; Geology; Earth science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001397643,0.00008639288,0.0001247246,0.00002953733,0.00002829806,0.00001531858,0.0002159663,0.00001819073,0.0001829247],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000009897061,0.00007972255,0.00003349133,0.0002223345,0.00002257649,0.0002294086,0.0008230302,0.0000544573,0.00004615771],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001395324,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000005534871,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001002484,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001494904,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991438,0.00001847898,0.0002192694,0.0002047853,0.0002560694,0.0001575679],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997378,0.00001268369,0.00009251555,0.000128955,0.000005039311,0.00002298831],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001369436,0.0001271366,0.6234552,0.0005108562,0.00006220047,0.00006123953,0.002524375,0.0310067,0.003044744,0.009241966,0.001306627,0.3285221],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007369805,0.00002499846,0.9242951,0.000432326,0.000007140324,0.000002484838,0.002233781,0.01122577,0.00145285,0.00001911466,0.05940145,0.0001680472],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8965641,0.00003596478,0.0005675244,0.0005499994,0.001023452,0.0001964986,0.000005402506,0.0000295649,0.1010276],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948148,0.00003025483,0.0007301338,0.00004633093,0.0000425905,0.00002799889,0.000001654437,0.000004500071,0.004301811],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.328354,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3250991,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01247483614174794,"score_gpt":0.1921036507156041,"score_spread":0.1796288145738562,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}