{"id":"W4408431002","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13372","title":"Risk of forest fire in Sweden under historical and future climate projections from 1971 to 2100t fire in Sweden under historical and future climate projections from 1971 to 2","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Climate change; Geography; Environmental resource management; Environmental science; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006824844,0.0003679598,0.0002281331,0.0008111499,0.0003032153,0.001162154,0.0003621721,0.0005314706,0.0007525359],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001275637,0.000229305,0.001047934,0.0006733189,0.0002387567,0.0004117627,0.0005830464,0.0003676915,0.0002785308],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001227421,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009148377,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1080417,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.07006005,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997512,0.00004506463,0.00002215785,0.00006498497,0.00004943248,0.00006720003],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995562,0.0001019613,0.0001059598,0.00003610739,0.0001252352,0.0000744678],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004089294,0.00005799028,0.7719378,0.00009382853,0.0005372657,0.0008017934,0.0002490553,0.2099019,0.0008671839,0.001420352,0.002642703,0.01108132],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004060905,0.00006540018,0.8832138,0.0001177763,0.0002313361,0.000280964,0.0006416835,0.1110096,0.0005604349,0.0007342975,0.003025513,0.00007849959],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.996305,0.0002963691,0.0002729731,0.0001503846,0.00002273887,0.000003624938,0.001870181,0.00004304115,0.001035778],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963523,0.0002266173,0.0001706395,0.00001412387,0.00001290898,0.000005465573,0.002950954,0.000009366777,0.0002575179],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1080417,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2148257,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01828357125543088,"score_gpt":0.2627372755415492,"score_spread":0.2444537042861183,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}