{"id":"W4408431825","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12390","title":"ENSO response to tropical volcanic eruptions: the role of the season","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Spacecraft Design and Technology","field":"Engineering","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"El Niño Southern Oscillation; Volcano; Climatology; Southern oscillation; Tropics; Environmental science; Geography; Geology; Ecology; Biology; Seismology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000473832,0.0002309537,0.0003046284,0.00011171,0.0002806679,0.000496762,0.0002103533,0.0003500182,0.001257777],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009809186,0.0001085937,0.0003280815,0.0001178424,0.0003094625,0.0003257263,0.0002875592,0.0004174362,0.00009372614],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003784845,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003019462,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01045389,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007613237,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998201,0.00005444404,0.00001291192,0.00004341746,0.00002887381,0.00004044757],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995441,0.0002306146,0.00007025865,0.00004773632,0.00003328553,0.00007401151],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004772799,0.001721226,0.3124985,0.0005055333,0.0004939349,0.0005979493,0.001016867,0.2205999,0.4307942,0.001899233,0.001931089,0.02316879],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002837185,0.002526511,0.8385257,0.00003949203,0.0001668341,0.0001344839,0.0007484966,0.1268844,0.02499734,0.001314304,0.004295975,0.00008260751],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9979844,0.0000579865,0.000307171,0.00005861567,0.00002013168,0.00001466082,0.0002687474,0.00001721445,0.001271056],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993924,0.00004624266,0.0001695917,0.00003218114,0.000006773156,0.00001284567,0.0001652579,0.000007396666,0.0001672375],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01045389,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02078605,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006946524017094281,"score_gpt":0.2224290304813957,"score_spread":0.2154825064643014,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}