{"id":"W4408436821","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-7046","title":"Significant and Widespread Decline of the Observed Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bedford Institute of Oceanography; Fisheries and Oceans Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Circulation (fluid dynamics); Shutdown of thermohaline circulation; Zonal and meridional; Climatology; Thermohaline circulation; Geography; Geology; North Atlantic Deep Water; Physics; Mechanics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000244092,0.0001216357,0.0001501024,0.0002599516,0.0002220697,0.0005389926,0.0001578724,0.0001753979,0.0006768142],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008405669,0.00007835327,0.0001151209,0.0005058158,0.0002131246,0.0003131695,0.0002857023,0.0002064311,0.0001466697],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002236871,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002133096,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01164954,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02114477,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998868,0.00001161345,0.00000825662,0.00005080747,0.00003006436,0.00001255399],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995098,0.00006454082,0.000203427,0.00006633515,0.0001136618,0.00004229971],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005412327,0.00002240849,0.959547,0.00004572822,0.00007875182,0.00007911541,0.000251733,0.000910572,0.01925093,0.0001602051,0.0004779597,0.01912149],"study_design_scores_gemma":[6.851715e-7,0.0000112704,0.9986079,0.000002474379,0.000005585931,0.00002301907,0.00004488894,0.0003026658,0.0004359851,0.00001401731,0.0005501522,0.000001376337],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9976362,0.0001503189,0.0003431777,0.00005079842,0.000006126854,0.000001961364,0.0004704176,0.00002749662,0.001313403],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988322,0.00008345139,0.0001916515,0.00001485117,0.000009143076,0.000001400869,0.000556706,0.000004461473,0.0003061598],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01164954,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0231635,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02390985887728716,"score_gpt":0.2146063688403334,"score_spread":0.1906965099630463,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}