{"id":"W4408439280","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5532","title":"Understanding Cyclonic Compound &amp;#8220;Wet&amp;#8221; and &amp;#8220;Windy&amp;#8221; Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean through Dynamical Systems Theory","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Mediterranean climate; Environmental science; Hydrology (agriculture); Geology; Geotechnical engineering; Geography; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","scholarly_communication","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00448341,0.001570094,0.003473416,0.001379605,0.0007525277,0.001931371,0.002194805,0.001213585,0.001478129],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003680146,0.001395254,0.0010809,0.001225109,0.0006390525,0.0005349581,0.001826457,0.00216942,0.0005334354],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001407693,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001951974,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01997232,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03725455,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9906496,0.0008541975,0.003747978,0.002739693,0.0005002095,0.001508271],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9928241,0.001708246,0.001689805,0.003338927,0.0001419739,0.0002969159],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002425933,0.0004924844,0.02372156,0.002280261,0.002221434,0.00002524619,0.01306563,0.002774844,0.00001323654,0.9436256,0.01117847,0.0003586728],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001957016,0.00007092034,0.001775174,0.001425314,0.0003891391,0.0001441087,0.00542636,0.01336689,4.342079e-7,0.2968597,0.6758818,0.002703143],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.167275,0.04832537,0.5708359,0.005155435,0.007911459,0.004773555,0.00302939,0.0005855677,0.1921083],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9295639,0.002434823,0.002985435,0.0006518514,0.001188654,0.0003603096,0.001593063,0.0002037324,0.06101824],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7622889,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997047,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2504831345755712,"score_gpt":0.295232745923206,"score_spread":0.04474961134763478,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}