{"id":"W4408439862","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5216","title":"Benefits of downscaled satellite-derived land surface temperature for permafrost modelling in the northern high latitudes","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Permafrost; Satellite; High latitude; Latitude; Environmental science; Climatology; Meteorology; Environmental resource management; Geography; Geology; Oceanography; Geodesy; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004554817,0.0007525022,0.0005742854,0.0004273539,0.000313288,0.001081747,0.0009999031,0.0006952785,0.002352712],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001204376,0.000371509,0.001142025,0.0006583234,0.0002122176,0.0008103657,0.0003873674,0.0005685198,0.0006493719],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004859744,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009539325,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06877667,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04009836,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998047,0.00004313956,0.00002186617,0.00007766987,0.00003436847,0.00001838637],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996853,0.0000682655,0.00002880103,0.00006300907,0.0001307879,0.00002384908],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007761005,0.0001200261,0.01991769,0.00006665873,0.0001414397,0.00009829148,0.00004481584,0.9571088,0.002577332,0.0005298634,0.001789302,0.01752823],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004481437,0.00001401065,0.009848872,0.00001819855,0.0000288364,0.00001590286,0.00002359305,0.9871513,0.0005475939,0.0003230012,0.001961495,0.00002243439],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9001087,0.001108707,0.05965538,0.001020155,0.0003929384,0.0001881247,0.01534736,0.003444431,0.01873419],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9671842,0.0003439931,0.0242508,0.0001094726,0.00008464876,0.0001014662,0.006130439,0.0003358864,0.001459192],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06877667,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1367527,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04416201317121381,"score_gpt":0.2475259928676069,"score_spread":0.2033639796963931,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}