{"id":"W4408487492","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15302","title":"Impactful Canadian decarbonization policies in times of an uncertain carbon tax","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Carbon tax; Business; Carbon fibers; Natural resource economics; Economics; Greenhouse gas; Materials science; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00180917,0.0007617747,0.0005320994,0.001011656,0.001539787,0.002344601,0.0009412343,0.0006589656,0.003122146],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004817935,0.0002528088,0.0007141747,0.001776697,0.0007160641,0.0008244715,0.0008651888,0.001005546,0.000166811],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.03719465,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.04247528,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9740554,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9774665,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988326,0.0002533217,0.00002128106,0.00009746845,0.000369851,0.0004254394],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998805,0.0003158059,0.0000839677,0.0000714447,0.0005892879,0.0001345361],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004480737,0.000069464,0.01723672,0.0001182409,0.0001069247,0.0001682412,0.0001711676,0.9211689,0.0007391764,0.03067251,0.008158695,0.02094189],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000138396,0.0001750282,0.05042561,0.00008492281,0.0001990236,0.00003092869,0.001933823,0.8983524,0.00229236,0.02169744,0.02454025,0.0001297841],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8814076,0.0009526901,0.0110751,0.004395358,0.00008209699,0.000387362,0.0179634,0.0002822637,0.08345412],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.987728,0.0005313116,0.004432083,0.0001287402,0.000007115012,0.00004365253,0.002565332,0.00002470518,0.00453915],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03719465,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2698674,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06878833558919689,"score_gpt":0.2788663204407965,"score_spread":0.2100779848515996,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}