{"id":"W4408673152","doi":"10.1029/2024gh001194","title":"Seasonal Bird Migration Could Explain Regional Synchronicity and Amplification in Human West Nile Virus Case Numbers","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"GeoHealth","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Flyway; West Nile virus; Geography; Cluster (spacecraft); Biology; Bird migration; Transmission (telecommunications); Ecology; Zoology; Virus; Virology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002720919,0.0001192345,0.0002173561,0.0001085103,0.000179241,0.00002403762,0.00004106942,0.00008848338,0.0000962544],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004271412,0.0001179598,0.00004528511,0.000195038,0.00005660705,0.00006773062,0.00001789501,0.0001796231,0.00001154828],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002290999,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003791463,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01466999,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02998335,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989154,0.00007261447,0.0002787762,0.0003152836,0.000165574,0.0002523751],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993985,0.00006057701,0.00008273684,0.0002289741,0.00006435439,0.0001648248],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001718898,0.001665277,0.8081169,0.001788923,0.000138751,0.001068361,0.001498719,0.0001024064,0.004953063,0.05272417,0.04283359,0.08339091],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005148812,0.0002974375,0.9614476,0.0003606107,0.000139519,0.0003370371,0.001069586,0.01327479,0.00007501458,0.0009215428,0.01668504,0.0002430079],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9905478,0.001479196,0.0005377603,0.006428024,0.00006910381,0.0005450851,0.00003487343,0.00006382805,0.0002943492],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.996497,0.0001955528,0.00006476272,0.002654481,0.0001119413,0.00008872406,0.0001217099,0.00001231579,0.0002534952],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1533307,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9918914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0176254472049819,"score_gpt":0.327306825414701,"score_spread":0.3096813782097191,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}