{"id":"W4408923871","doi":"10.1017/epi.2024.64","title":"Safety, Lotteries, and Failures of the Imagination","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Episteme","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Imagination; Philosophy; Psychoanalysis; Cognitive psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002034172,0.00006532566,0.0001246878,0.00003223962,0.0001979079,0.0000372955,0.000108703,0.00002784834,0.00007716414],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005054984,0.00004481759,0.00004465774,0.00002700139,0.0007557095,0.00008022015,0.00006037937,0.00009327618,0.000004221753],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001139279,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003280307,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003362143,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001182002,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994993,0.00007445401,0.0001718749,0.00009777179,0.00007598185,0.0000806723],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995477,0.00009452458,0.00007593605,0.0001741874,0.00009718118,0.00001050837],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00000618461,0.00001368881,0.0009149635,0.0001220919,0.00002257042,2.040965e-7,0.00547301,3.39901e-7,0.0001545902,0.9876564,0.004105601,0.001530381],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002075788,0.00001725457,0.006059215,0.00007221093,0.00003293038,6.641389e-7,0.001399345,0.00001304987,0.000590799,0.08961418,0.9019256,0.00006712454],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.08231018,0.003452771,0.0003969985,0.0733816,0.003626695,0.000510997,0.00009733209,0.00008742198,0.836136],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9588745,0.00003598462,0.00003763169,0.0007273819,0.0001178098,0.000004970663,0.00000423672,0.000004859884,0.04019262],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8980422,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2784443,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01814131391038901,"score_gpt":0.2455233337462917,"score_spread":0.2273820198359027,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}