{"id":"W4408978700","doi":"10.1056/nejmoa2415879","title":"Global Effect of Cardiovascular Risk Factors on Lifetime Estimates","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"New England Journal of Medicine","topic":"Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins","field":"Medicine","cited_by":109,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Helmholtz Zentrum München; Horizon 2020; Det Sundhedsvidenskabelige Fakultet, Københavns Universitet; Russian Academy of Sciences; Cancer Council Victoria; Tartu Ülikool; Uppsala Universitet; Medical Research Council; Akershus Universitetssykehus; University of New South Wales; Tel Aviv University; Bispebjerg Hospital; Uniwersytet Jagielloński Collegium Medicum; Harokopio University; Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Western Australia; Universität Ulm; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences; Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München; Technische Universität München; Cardio-Pulmonary Institute; Universitetet i Oslo; North-West University; B.P. Koirala Institute of Health Sciences; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Instituto Nacional De Salud Pública; Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey; Lunds Universitet; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Universidad Nacional de La Plata; Deutsches Zentrum für Herz-Kreislaufforschung; Qatar University; Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca; College of Medicine, Seoul National University; Chonnam National University; Seoul National University; Public Health Foundation of India; Mashhad University of Medical Sciences; Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam; European Commission; McMaster University; Fakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U Kragujevcu; Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet; Universiti Brunei Darussalam; Emory University; Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute; Cancer Research Institute; School of Medicine, Emory University; College of Pharmacy, University of Georgia; Hamilton Health Sciences; South African Medical Research Council","keywords":"Medicine; Environmental health; Risk analysis (engineering); Internal medicine; Cardiology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002622217,0.00029154,0.001948578,0.0003135067,0.00005225282,0.000008193987,0.0001900171,0.0001326665,0.00007576341],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00331124,0.0001670444,0.001069413,0.0004455169,0.0001673184,0.00005594027,0.00002907064,0.0004280679,0.000004399832],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001019721,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002018543,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003910085,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002375311,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974505,0.0003115513,0.0006896465,0.0002090176,0.001073418,0.0002658527],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980077,0.0005753924,0.0003223764,0.0005165208,0.0002382579,0.0003398031],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001903706,0.00009273513,0.09603165,0.0003283476,0.009318336,0.0002439236,0.0001895822,0.001763029,0.00005756845,0.00003602796,0.006042759,0.8839923],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.1775889,0.02017862,0.5380862,0.006616068,0.02558473,0.0006702746,0.0001668091,0.0001764354,0.01511194,0.001042228,0.2143671,0.0004106875],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.960162,0.03112381,0.002267569,0.0006643336,0.00121816,0.0003728224,0.00001006286,0.00002688869,0.00415428],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9957517,0.00157826,0.0003063536,0.0001047357,0.002101411,0.00000166539,0.000007951511,0.00001794588,0.0001299849],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8835816,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6811875,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006731680338430454,"score_gpt":0.2602639383709016,"score_spread":0.2535322580324711,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}