{"id":"W4408978700","doi":"10.1056/nejmoa2415879","title":"Global Effect of Cardiovascular Risk Factors on Lifetime Estimates","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"New England Journal of Medicine","topic":"Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins","field":"Medicine","cited_by":109,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Helmholtz Zentrum München; Horizon 2020; Det Sundhedsvidenskabelige Fakultet, Københavns Universitet; Russian Academy of Sciences; Cancer Council Victoria; Tartu Ülikool; Uppsala Universitet; Medical Research Council; Akershus Universitetssykehus; University of New South Wales; Tel Aviv University; Bispebjerg Hospital; Uniwersytet Jagielloński Collegium Medicum; Harokopio University; Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Western Australia; Universität Ulm; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences; Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München; Technische Universität München; Cardio-Pulmonary Institute; Universitetet i Oslo; North-West University; B.P. Koirala Institute of Health Sciences; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Instituto Nacional De Salud Pública; Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey; Lunds Universitet; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Universidad Nacional de La Plata; Deutsches Zentrum für Herz-Kreislaufforschung; Qatar University; Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca; College of Medicine, Seoul National University; Chonnam National University; Seoul National University; Public Health Foundation of India; Mashhad University of Medical Sciences; Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam; European Commission; McMaster University; Fakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U Kragujevcu; Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet; Universiti Brunei Darussalam; Emory University; Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute; Cancer Research Institute; School of Medicine, Emory University; College of Pharmacy, University of Georgia; Hamilton Health Sciences; South African Medical Research Council","keywords":"Medicine; Environmental health; Risk analysis (engineering); Internal medicine; Cardiology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02890191,0.0008766021,0.001154435,0.002307396,0.000287344,0.001278105,0.001027386,0.0005982105,0.002519653],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04758025,0.0004532715,0.003108861,0.002936265,0.000924084,0.001615347,0.002807889,0.00112702,0.0003416569],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000729299,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006136505,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006974366,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004614069,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9861299,0.008712567,0.001023027,0.002589425,0.001118588,0.0004265754],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9507701,0.0309632,0.007975779,0.007180191,0.002605445,0.0005051649],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002683037,0.00001283805,0.9586467,0.0004446883,0.007722179,0.00007189866,0.000267453,0.008626116,0.0001415669,0.002444965,0.001400071,0.01995332],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002616791,0.0001793821,0.9698095,0.0005806549,0.00275844,0.0004961582,0.0002671832,0.01005142,0.0003280457,0.006809205,0.008619241,0.00007460042],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8052834,0.04399091,0.08745141,0.003073975,0.0004080842,0.0002424751,0.04661751,0.0006071752,0.01232508],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.980661,0.003060333,0.006962255,0.0002169401,0.00008521128,0.00009300059,0.008520438,0.00005822937,0.0003425197],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02890191,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1528497,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006731680338430454,"score_gpt":0.2602639383709016,"score_spread":0.2535322580324711,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}