{"id":"W4410111935","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5204995","title":"A conflict in Suspense: General Close of Military Operations in the Iran-Israel Conflict&amp;nbsp;","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Middle East and Rwanda Conflicts","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia; University of British Columbia Hospital","funders":"","keywords":"Armed conflict; Conflict resolution; Operations research; Political science; Law; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009968375,0.0001630136,0.0002008076,0.001610915,0.004286909,0.002100054,0.0005056214,0.001149645,0.006130931],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005080437,0.0001778623,0.0001652626,0.001894004,0.001917986,0.002345486,0.002360612,0.001979287,0.0002904653],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001324454,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001537036,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03101262,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05522902,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992391,0.0003275269,0.0000450388,0.00005118245,0.00009155009,0.0002455832],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983065,0.0004322479,0.0004280116,0.00006416907,0.0002672134,0.0005018511],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006061363,0.0005384223,0.7238425,0.0001352544,0.00005262631,0.002675955,0.2016259,0.0002760058,0.0006346054,0.008827625,0.01009742,0.05068747],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001177961,0.000162033,0.5222173,0.00008503271,0.00001286187,0.00119077,0.4631898,0.00009911605,0.00008115394,0.00206097,0.01087384,0.00001537166],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9807957,0.0008564834,0.00004341873,0.00301459,0.00006320925,0.00001482192,0.0001029997,0.000002187329,0.01510665],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984433,0.0003584519,0.0000155445,0.0002590735,0.00003741467,0.000005336771,0.00005763718,0.000001726281,0.0008214673],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03101262,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06166422,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0281320666165415,"score_gpt":0.3250246766414524,"score_spread":0.2968926100249109,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}