{"id":"W4410161295","doi":"10.1038/s41467-025-56910-x","title":"Characterising acute and chronic care needs: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Communications","topic":"Chronic Disease Management Strategies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":26,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Alberta Health Services; St. Thomas Hospital; University of Calgary; Queen's University; University of Alberta; Manitoba Health; Centre for Advancing Health Outcomes; University of Windsor; Dalhousie University; University of Ottawa; McGill University; Public Health Agency of Canada; Population Health Research Institute; Western University; University of Toronto; Hamilton Health Sciences; University of British Columbia; University of Manitoba; St. Joseph’s Healthcare Hamilton; University of Waterloo; McMaster University; Université de Montréal; University of New Brunswick; University of Saskatchewan; Lawson Health Research Institute","funders":"Biotechnology Industry Research Assistance Council; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; National Health and Medical Research Council; Medical Research Council; Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University; Science and Engineering Research Board; Directorate for Mathematical and Physical Sciences; Madda Walabu University; Western Sydney University; Fogarty International Center; Idorsia Pharmaceuticals; Applied Molecular Biosciences Unit; I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University; Universitatea de Medicină şi Farmacie \"Carol Davila\" Bucureşti; Fakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U Kragujevcu; Khulna University; Case Western Reserve University; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; University of Sydney; University of Agriculture, Faisalabad; Guilan University of Medical Sciences; Masarykova Univerzita; Cabrini Foundation; Indian Institute of Technology Delhi; Shaqra University; China Medical University; Universiteit Stellenbosch; University of Dhaka; Directorate for Biological Sciences; Göteborgs Universitet; Lung Foundation Australia; King's College London; Imperial College London; Shiraz University; Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; National Institutes of Health; Chinese University of Hong Kong; Charotar University of Science and Technology; Taipei Medical University; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Tsinghua University; Ateneo de Manila University; King Abdulaziz University; Isfahan University of Medical Sciences; Ministero della Salute; Charles Sturt University; Science and Technology Development Fund; SRM Institute of Science and Technology; Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences; Pohang University of Science and Technology; Shiraz University of Medical Sciences; Ain Shams University; Academy of Scientific Research and Technology; Deakin University; Shaheed Benazir Bhutto University; University College London; Indian Council of Medical Research; University of Central Florida; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; University of Tasmania; Arthritis Australia; University of Alberta; National Human Genome Research Institute; Macquarie University; The Wellcome Trust DBT India Alliance; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences; Asia University; University of Pretoria; University of New South Wales; Jawaharlal Nehru University; Department of Science and Technology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India; Neyshabur University of Medical Sciences; South African Medical Research Council; Kasturba Medical College, Manipal; Asian Institute of Medicine, Science and Technology; Sydney Medical School; AstraZeneca; European Commission; University of Tsukuba; Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences; RMIT University; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; HCF Research Foundation; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences; University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore; Regeneron Pharmaceuticals; Shahrekord University; Mylan; Nankai University; Fresenius Medical Care North America; Division of Mathematical Sciences; Taibah University; Trường Đại học Duy Tân; Wellcome Trust; Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación; Banaras Hindu University; Federation University Australia; Jazan University; Alexion Pharmaceuticals; University of Otago; Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; National Institute for Research in Tuberculosis; McGill University; International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society; Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung; Sanofi; Amgen; Università degli Studi di Sassari; Pfizer; Eli Lilly and Company; Department of Biotechnology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India; Emory University","keywords":"Medicine; Multimorbidity; Chronic disease; Acute care; Burden of disease; Chronic condition; Health care; Long-term care; Healthcare system; Gerontology; Disease burden; Chronic care; Disease; Intensive care medicine; Psychiatry; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001650947,0.0003245813,0.0003811395,0.00279355,0.0003986464,0.001146227,0.0002827467,0.0003338681,0.002722455],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004769578,0.0001380003,0.0008828301,0.005871197,0.000275392,0.001195817,0.001861367,0.0007318904,0.0003567194],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009399967,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00139491,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02302077,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04881584,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991829,0.0002992405,0.0001335089,0.00006793434,0.000156147,0.0001602481],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982291,0.000360502,0.0007412992,0.00007570074,0.0002921098,0.000301383],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000110971,0.00003998783,0.9613849,0.0002965662,0.0002079106,0.00009273468,0.001248568,0.0003210835,0.00008060579,0.0006672823,0.008872157,0.02667728],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001189529,0.00004810782,0.9884708,0.0003011517,0.00007109631,0.0001799585,0.00265387,0.0004067373,0.00004217784,0.0008860006,0.006912318,0.00001593953],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9040853,0.01349939,0.001158325,0.01187668,0.0001492583,0.0001893924,0.05297812,0.00003479162,0.01602864],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9757909,0.004197856,0.00110035,0.0009145901,0.0001194103,0.0001493399,0.01687214,0.00001405295,0.0008412047],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02302077,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04577357,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.015021432163409,"score_gpt":0.3388232601431237,"score_spread":0.3238018279797147,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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