{"id":"W4410403404","doi":"10.1017/s0007123424000930","title":"Inflation, Blame Attribution, and the 2022 US Congressional Elections","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"British Journal of Political Science","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Blame; Inflation (cosmology); Attribution; Political science; Keynesian economics; Economics; Psychology; Social psychology; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":["sts"],"category_scores_codex":[0.003539,0.00004827601,0.0001399781,0.00008275884,0.001539004,0.0003377553,0.0002357062,0.00004944665,0.0001045058],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00483674,0.00003801912,0.00005293074,0.0007719428,0.003353157,0.000393089,0.00004107241,0.0002257229,0.000003871626],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002270667,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001026565,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009852087,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002229327,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980558,0.0003257886,0.0003734833,0.0001076969,0.0005953172,0.0005419496],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981642,0.0005033787,0.0001052725,0.00005509655,0.0008198508,0.0003521444],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009411647,0.00001796583,0.01600546,0.000002501135,0.00000474298,0.000003169285,0.00008479339,0.000002269598,0.0001474749,0.9816441,0.001008657,0.001069434],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006579494,0.00003487977,0.7620125,0.0001424916,0.00002921065,0.0001119768,0.0002648841,0.0001256117,0.0001737725,0.2178262,0.0185425,0.00007792778],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9506717,0.0005448462,0.001799327,0.03476386,0.0007467484,0.0001761435,0.00000729432,0.00001383162,0.01127625],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9980312,0.00002933969,0.00004537163,0.000734012,0.0003106893,0.00000386494,2.900128e-7,0.000001539058,0.000843712],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7638178,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997609,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01596658737833595,"score_gpt":0.3518477049002811,"score_spread":0.3358811175219451,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}