{"id":"W4410647496","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfaf002","title":"The Preference-Expectation Gap in Support for Female Candidates: Evidence from Japan","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Public Opinion Quarterly","topic":"Gender Politics and Representation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Queen's University","funders":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; Waseda University","keywords":"Preference; Moderation; Social psychology; Psychology; Order (exchange); Government (linguistics); Public opinion; Democracy; Argument (complex analysis); Conjoint analysis; Political science; Positive economics; Economics; Politics; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000678647,0.00007266781,0.00009259986,0.0001002926,0.0004927912,0.0003785832,0.0002836433,0.00007172188,0.00004641708],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003515398,0.00005790228,0.00004636535,0.0002808388,0.0001049576,0.0003996102,0.00001128479,0.00007007797,0.00001703567],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001084915,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005218159,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00996348,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01471342,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987639,0.0001964647,0.0002538697,0.000230336,0.0002298821,0.000325582],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988197,0.0006914707,0.00008509177,0.0001874211,0.0001477566,0.00006857837],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006945872,0.0001613261,0.2132338,0.00006033144,0.00006492398,3.556291e-7,0.2388406,0.000005386549,0.0001358928,0.3727452,0.02336603,0.1513166],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001181052,0.0003807544,0.397459,0.0001476292,0.00001754193,1.996977e-7,0.2207399,0.001240462,0.0001541711,0.1129943,0.265332,0.0003529434],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8379863,0.0008858644,0.009322469,0.08967806,0.006469677,0.002840605,0.0001020396,0.0001794798,0.05253548],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9968749,0.0001044746,0.0001091622,0.0001130561,0.0001863255,0.0002381191,0.00006637569,0.000004267608,0.002303307],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2597509,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9966292,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1243297238836331,"score_gpt":0.3857994449924675,"score_spread":0.2614697211088344,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}