{"id":"W4411473102","doi":"10.32920/29373989.v1","title":"Ballot Roll-Off in the 2021 Alberta Senate Nominee Election: Political Identities and Participation Patterns","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Ballot; Political science; Politics; Public administration; Race (biology); Voting; Law; Sociology; Gender studies","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001385007,0.0001268011,0.0002473604,0.001561738,0.002006557,0.001661115,0.0008501848,0.0005974256,0.003516442],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003248251,0.0001976622,0.0001594285,0.002202571,0.001047874,0.0004131241,0.001265964,0.0007432299,0.000724745],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003216082,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002738555,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.6579135,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8770848,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987452,0.000251861,0.00003662905,0.0001342211,0.0003212914,0.0005106532],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997404,0.0003491572,0.0008464449,0.0001313382,0.000545477,0.0007234484],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004027824,0.0001377029,0.9585106,0.00002755187,0.00002221146,0.0001691414,0.02066482,0.0001318831,0.000772915,0.0007023833,0.002774659,0.01568321],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002200925,0.00001713617,0.9885443,0.000009901636,0.000002366762,0.00002016821,0.009732952,0.000099037,0.00007168174,0.0000419078,0.001452513,0.000005771631],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9963258,0.00004360979,0.00002637026,0.0001450237,0.000003471087,0.00001075781,0.0003871295,0.000003393568,0.003054526],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9952911,0.00005866121,0.00005129479,0.00003318992,0.000003655774,0.000009119685,0.0006347101,0.000003568855,0.003914677],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3420865,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6882022,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03820822614869562,"score_gpt":0.37055092925037,"score_spread":0.3323427031016744,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}