{"id":"W4411618221","doi":"10.51847/k7gqkdfszw","title":"10.51847/k7gqkdfsZw","year":2000,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Time to knit","topic":"Insurance and Financial Risk Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Overconfidence effect; Stock exchange; Conservatism; Business; Accounting; Profit (economics); Actuarial science; Economics; Finance; Psychology; Microeconomics; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002186312,0.00011917,0.0002385606,0.0001253812,0.00008575584,0.00004912372,0.0002243457,0.00005344264,0.9802284],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002210108,0.0001460406,0.00007985813,0.0002558492,0.00001857953,0.0001295085,0.00003297849,0.00006700992,0.9950515],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004590216,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000005363054,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00008075992,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":3.588137e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990584,0.000004808865,0.0003176736,0.000294037,0.00003137965,0.0002937097],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995297,0.000009763889,0.00005794433,0.0003139696,0.00001315385,0.00007552085],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004334704,0.00006545897,0.0000257946,0.000006659914,0.0000180507,0.000005944054,0.00003331733,0.0001486297,8.978024e-7,0.003690054,0.04346012,0.9525017],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001991278,0.00007738295,0.002067387,0.00000533465,0.000002428293,7.175683e-7,5.239056e-7,0.0001672654,0.000001781982,0.0005148296,0.9967608,0.0002023509],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.002673828,0.0002624272,0.00001485607,0.0003495138,0.00001078376,0.0001808865,0.00005429907,0.00006786529,0.9963855],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.005227399,0.000008077076,0.0001461711,0.0002566219,0.0001389665,0.00002933953,0.00001031864,0.00002197716,0.9941611],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9533008,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5955362,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01082902187438192,"score_gpt":0.1649342210369086,"score_spread":0.1541051991625266,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}