{"id":"W4411715159","doi":"10.32920/29416613","title":"Demography - The Life and Death Discipline","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Demography; Geography; History; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001792588,0.0006864141,0.0006685638,0.002181047,0.001416097,0.003519977,0.001099297,0.001477812,0.007861116],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006400111,0.0003431824,0.0005341511,0.00328661,0.005905062,0.005853908,0.001620853,0.003553637,0.002108352],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003217582,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002277597,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005050608,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007363075,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983046,0.00098909,0.0000800256,0.000205852,0.0003309572,0.00008950177],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967434,0.002472254,0.0001588666,0.0002202359,0.0002932146,0.0001120624],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001464542,0.00001700832,0.001588419,0.0003859886,0.00001714658,0.00008628787,0.003737892,0.001195677,0.00005596975,0.7683252,0.157822,0.06675374],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004541305,0.00002233438,0.002105133,0.0007119168,0.000008417816,0.000163813,0.002422932,0.0009169587,0.0001086268,0.2351782,0.7583417,0.00001546202],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.01004055,0.1765381,0.08962382,0.1220158,0.012894,0.0002284306,0.003939268,0.0004356407,0.5842844],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2719714,0.2744504,0.06321132,0.0256799,0.01253631,0.0007463581,0.003874197,0.000683554,0.3468466],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007861116,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02629805,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03252380937937745,"score_gpt":0.3412527063385492,"score_spread":0.3087288969591718,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}