{"id":"W4411784530","doi":"10.1029/2024gh001323","title":"Fungal Spore Seasons Advanced Across the US Over Two Decades of Climate Change","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"GeoHealth","topic":"Allergic Rhinitis and Sensitization","field":"Medicine","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Canadian Institute for Advanced Research; U.S. Department of Energy; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Spore; Climate change; Phenology; Percentile; Biology; Growing season; Ecology; Geography; Environmental science; Botany; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002582579,0.00008808247,0.000218784,0.00003109495,0.0001659633,0.000007942508,0.00005406556,0.00004947447,0.00004584666],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004058302,0.00006008993,0.0000539667,0.0001989023,0.00006297795,0.00004869344,0.00004328791,0.0001354298,0.000007695757],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004346751,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009009724,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001960845,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003009378,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991572,0.00003810449,0.00018684,0.0001527381,0.0001623468,0.0003027472],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994581,0.00005159549,0.0001001014,0.0002433926,0.00008384039,0.00006298276],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001239041,0.0002941635,0.648389,0.001146243,0.0001352338,0.0001132799,0.00707089,0.0001582307,0.0005735445,0.04421303,0.0047399,0.2919274],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001919066,0.0001213931,0.9736665,0.0003417688,0.00003404293,0.00002607573,0.0006806944,0.001388908,0.0002152079,0.0001883387,0.0213441,0.00007386396],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9868889,0.001038132,0.0001016186,0.005887259,0.0002673569,0.0004549115,0.00006072673,0.0000362454,0.005264809],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9927599,0.002229093,0.000191306,0.004209196,0.0001529805,0.00001568861,0.0000462994,0.000009964432,0.0003856095],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3252775,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2450396,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02080934949522303,"score_gpt":0.3666414284076785,"score_spread":0.3458320789124555,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}