{"id":"W4411805555","doi":"10.5194/ems2025-610","title":"Origin of smoke in the record-breaking air-pollution event in New York, June 2023","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Smoke; Event (particle physics); Environmental science; Pollution; Air pollution; Meteorology; History; Geography; Physics; Ecology; Biology; Astrophysics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001070522,0.0001778138,0.0001687782,0.0003450689,0.0008313123,0.0005380262,0.0002606714,0.0003922246,0.0008532396],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002758419,0.0001351427,0.0001439776,0.0005378097,0.0003287409,0.0002587857,0.0004656985,0.0005049348,0.000105658],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002236594,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001315266,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.6406178,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8377912,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999553,0.000002409888,0.000002003773,0.00001274358,0.00001498038,0.00001252503],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998515,0.00001613697,0.00003036336,0.000007639082,0.00004621905,0.00004813516],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002286363,0.0001350978,0.975385,0.00004295937,0.00005291642,0.001191595,0.001564465,0.002784186,0.009932259,0.0002941993,0.002330601,0.006058087],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006430781,0.00001441901,0.9946547,0.000009682219,0.000006584024,0.0000372071,0.0006733102,0.003236771,0.0004425698,0.00002434211,0.0008872824,0.000006841355],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9983972,0.00004363533,0.0000625714,0.00008230858,0.000008299825,0.000008323121,0.0007193523,0.00000984445,0.0006684446],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9974071,0.00007666436,0.0002296986,0.00002847651,0.00001273775,0.00001115902,0.001552773,0.000006434939,0.0006750473],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6406178,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7229974,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07620527128207813,"score_gpt":0.3173043089610437,"score_spread":0.2410990376789655,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}