{"id":"W4412480555","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108705","title":"Distribution of climate damages in convergence-consistent growth projections","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Energy Economics","topic":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Volkswagen Aktiengesellschaft; Canada Research Chairs","keywords":"Damages; Convergence (economics); Econometrics; Distribution (mathematics); Economics; Environmental science; Climatology; Mathematics; Geology; Macroeconomics; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003472073,0.0001691651,0.0004909684,0.0003931782,0.00008296666,0.00003724715,0.000214078,0.0001420398,0.0001478372],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007672366,0.0002319339,0.0001477595,0.0002758302,0.00009810136,0.0002288904,0.0001209104,0.0000992991,0.00003720939],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003268709,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003750791,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002031266,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001923126,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982455,0.00001377757,0.0009872662,0.0003906089,0.000008029941,0.0003548622],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991615,0.00007186267,0.0003707349,0.0003196521,0.00002702515,0.0000492632],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002034714,0.00008477891,0.2461255,0.00004396181,0.00003576176,4.418877e-7,0.0001026774,0.0002338307,0.000002941828,0.7528416,0.0002672068,0.0002409965],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003982541,0.0001786263,0.2263899,0.0001910863,0.00004842783,0.00001181036,0.001634088,0.07322405,0.003989186,0.4849264,0.20386,0.001563892],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9150422,0.0006333547,0.0009621085,0.001063544,0.001092862,0.0001390671,0.001231959,0.00003616989,0.07979878],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9894378,0.009193576,0.0001158946,0.0002631683,0.00005752975,0.00006274044,0.0002188373,0.00001659485,0.0006338469],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2679152,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9457989,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.034165258112611,"score_gpt":0.2320810634150256,"score_spread":0.1979158053024146,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}