{"id":"W4413020129","doi":"10.1287/mnsc.2024.07480","title":"Income Pools for Superstar Markets","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Management Science","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Superstar; Economics; Microeconomics; Business; Advertising","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00120459,0.00008568942,0.0001638119,0.0003627429,0.0002514063,0.0001482236,0.0005747061,0.00002173239,0.0001330173],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004158441,0.00009995468,0.00006031793,0.0003803624,0.0001763096,0.0003193606,0.0002392209,0.00003247191,0.0001300423],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000141083,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001188811,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0000190261,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000002934286,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989063,0.000002327589,0.0002920345,0.0004548153,0.00002227956,0.0003223052],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994633,0.00002857264,0.00007312527,0.0003764466,0.00001438874,0.00004417296],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008976815,0.00001416532,0.00373675,0.0000374425,0.00001485251,4.78149e-7,0.00004333545,0.00005548775,0.000004478594,0.9934791,0.0009733284,0.00163156],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005139644,0.00001976581,0.02451264,0.00001838098,0.000005352914,2.230317e-7,0.0001810821,0.006074726,0.00008203676,0.7828322,0.1855775,0.0001820661],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1448256,0.0003373103,0.1194584,0.001699554,0.001433008,0.0007356381,0.00006312742,0.00006094542,0.7313864],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9695579,0.00005334813,0.005208098,0.0005623897,0.00002110245,0.00007054538,0.000002089502,0.000006189234,0.02451838],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8247322,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4076034,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01854128008007522,"score_gpt":0.2295137345249926,"score_spread":0.2109724544449174,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}