{"id":"W4413030543","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7241437/v1","title":"Temporary Warming, Lasting Losses: Economic damages from climate overshoot may be irreversible within this century","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"European Commission","keywords":"Damages; Overshoot (microwave communication); Natural resource economics; Climate change; Environmental science; Warming up; Economics; Political science; Computer science; Medicine; Geology; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008612346,0.0002972585,0.0004915642,0.0004185273,0.0007637361,0.003513284,0.0004862515,0.002152876,0.0162161],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005274972,0.0002476049,0.0005013293,0.000771391,0.001707333,0.004447303,0.001732168,0.002718118,0.0006156863],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008392992,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006889353,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003318833,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004718557,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999751,0.00003300481,0.0000143478,0.0000673463,0.00003760241,0.00009669305],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986199,0.000476306,0.000445051,0.0001413748,0.0001171786,0.000200213],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001187158,0.0001665074,0.08096844,0.0007441725,0.0004454052,0.002421976,0.001447893,0.04286428,0.003615248,0.7561848,0.02434572,0.08560842],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002883077,0.00008473488,0.1055393,0.0001190932,0.0001746103,0.0004136615,0.001882427,0.008681102,0.0006354611,0.862202,0.02018168,0.00005712605],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7890196,0.01169489,0.02383717,0.03450797,0.001120094,0.0000406319,0.002316009,0.0003012414,0.1371625],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9885329,0.002312698,0.0003289185,0.0003604719,0.0002755523,0.000008385899,0.0001860972,0.00003356245,0.007961505],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0162161,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05424827,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.197048044444093,"score_gpt":0.3752549598778177,"score_spread":0.1782069154337247,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}