{"id":"W4413073932","doi":"10.18235/0013598","title":"Supply chain networks and the macroeconomic expectations of firms","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"other","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"Economic Policies and Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Tamkeen; York University; New York University Abu Dhabi; Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand; Université Laval","keywords":"Spillover effect; Upstream (networking); Downstream (manufacturing); Supply chain; Economics; Monetary economics; Aggregate (composite); Investment (military); Inflation (cosmology); Microeconomics; Business; Marketing; Telecommunications; Operations management","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000567832,0.0005408414,0.001645451,0.0007579927,0.00016811,0.0001172724,0.0006088806,0.0004955689,0.007736355],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001611282,0.0005372244,0.0004191959,0.0001661334,0.001093368,0.0001421389,0.0002086011,0.0004252203,0.0006308085],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002140032,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001852814,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002798568,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001155526,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971621,0.00005428017,0.001376659,0.0007675727,0.00002817252,0.0006112207],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9968253,0.0004164661,0.001589512,0.000965675,0.00002162864,0.0001814125],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003976766,0.00005930975,0.160466,0.0001115606,0.000666552,0.000002032205,0.0004645096,0.00007188284,3.745707e-7,0.3511652,0.4862674,0.0006854403],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005448948,0.0001005585,0.02403528,0.0003848497,0.0001277495,0.00004359981,0.0007225089,0.004943311,0.00001008085,0.01200631,0.9507247,0.001452155],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.01734857,0.04786159,0.0003655607,0.001271824,0.002754148,0.0009116431,0.002191258,0.0001117134,0.9271837],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3502918,0.01307524,0.0005037155,0.00149168,0.001319914,0.0002462043,0.0001402881,0.0005394811,0.6323918],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4644573,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997079,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009909303847875096,"score_gpt":0.206486746146221,"score_spread":0.1965774422983459,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}