{"id":"W4413120773","doi":"10.1016/j.segy.2025.100200","title":"Geopolitical risk index for guiding international sustainable energy trade","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Smart Energy","topic":"Global Energy Security and Policy","field":"Energy","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Geopolitics; Index (typography); International trade; Sustainable energy; Business; Political science; Computer science; Engineering; Renewable energy; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002283124,0.0003040628,0.0003233612,0.0003591371,0.0003585985,0.0001218653,0.0005574349,0.0003148549,0.0002156079],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003936702,0.0003184651,0.0002773048,0.0004177365,0.0001254958,0.0002159608,0.0002114502,0.0001153384,0.000007184806],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002921978,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002248696,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07268058,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007624006,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977497,0.0001019578,0.0004549086,0.000486327,0.0002572994,0.0009497727],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988676,0.0002715034,0.0001012975,0.0004155161,0.0001454689,0.0001986493],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001063816,0.000100844,0.0001653359,0.00002024756,0.0001983132,0.00001397437,0.00004936948,0.00396047,0.00005011054,0.9558163,0.03026571,0.009252902],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008123908,0.00003752556,0.0002536813,0.00001729875,0.00003821359,0.00000539091,0.000163429,0.003749348,0.002574134,0.245978,0.7461401,0.0002305139],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.004167546,0.0005863286,0.02066525,0.005136933,0.002381203,0.0000884055,0.0000863752,0.0003531836,0.9665348],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9401069,0.0001694617,0.0002601706,0.004379538,0.0009276184,0.0001461529,0.0001851533,0.00003864336,0.05378633],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9359394,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999267,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009435240096332233,"score_gpt":0.256509092089917,"score_spread":0.2470738519935847,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}