{"id":"W4413169199","doi":"10.35854/1998-1627-2025-7-923-933","title":"International experience in forecasting socio-economic development: Possibilities of application in Russian practical activities","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economics and Management","topic":"Economic and Technological Developments in Russia","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Regional science; Management science; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003698492,0.00006410285,0.0001241759,0.0001892131,0.00007796601,0.00003985879,0.0001468719,0.00005774785,0.00002934815],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001714711,0.00007243903,0.00001363231,0.0000456566,0.0001956696,0.0002060554,0.0001562714,0.00005437804,0.000002021693],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004127571,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007907387,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002883078,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001577172,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999297,0.00001271991,0.0003147281,0.0002092997,0.00002374185,0.0001425162],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997538,0.0000630103,0.00009246906,0.00007089881,0.000002709427,0.0000171154],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008977474,0.00002859302,0.04169323,0.0000138518,0.00001681761,6.502547e-7,0.003673083,0.000030733,6.36412e-7,0.8960617,0.00001340732,0.05845834],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001368451,0.00001677022,0.2504459,0.00016039,0.000008514997,6.95981e-7,0.0953714,0.005284161,0.0003217448,0.2619624,0.3845879,0.0004716701],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7659456,0.00001937048,0.0003570933,0.001661922,0.0001453841,0.0002126593,0.000001081838,0.00001173691,0.2316452],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9919829,0.001107288,0.005935355,0.00005670125,0.000009799442,0.0001039208,0.000002240731,0.000002510636,0.0007993257],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6340993,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2953978,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03443107382163205,"score_gpt":0.3180363718928946,"score_spread":0.2836052980712625,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}