{"id":"W4413274230","doi":"10.1016/j.jfs.2025.101451","title":"Decomposing systemic risk: The roles of contagion and common exposures","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Financial Stability","topic":"Banking stability, regulation, efficiency","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"European Central Bank; Bank of Canada","keywords":"Systemic risk; Economics; Business; Monetary economics; Financial crisis; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003362681,0.001389936,0.001413792,0.001906053,0.0006148404,0.00432389,0.001089656,0.00182094,0.00357288],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01613619,0.0004940237,0.001189626,0.001415372,0.00276636,0.006153566,0.002626329,0.002730643,0.0001190581],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001110468,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00182549,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009299718,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008269518,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987302,0.000559782,0.00007627558,0.0002051465,0.0001677203,0.0002607589],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9714978,0.02247921,0.002707189,0.001057042,0.0008760372,0.001382705],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004388401,0.0003507783,0.1459191,0.0002662067,0.00170828,0.001690839,0.001974723,0.1787577,0.002578341,0.611302,0.002262419,0.05275064],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003835134,0.0001742485,0.02396539,0.0001117074,0.0004734093,0.0001766439,0.0008985196,0.3273661,0.0005817529,0.6449378,0.001203545,0.00007247198],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8534628,0.005292608,0.1304102,0.003697823,0.0001330725,0.00004771429,0.000185195,0.00008237342,0.00668827],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9947437,0.001313663,0.002478558,0.00006203043,0.0001553961,0.00001280327,0.00006119361,0.00001117008,0.001161543],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009299718,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01849121,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01455252941906606,"score_gpt":0.235177460922418,"score_spread":0.2206249315033519,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}