{"id":"W4413481286","doi":"10.64628/aam.fhnu66xcw","title":"Why Israel and the U.S. are sure to encounter the limits of air power in Iran","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Middle East and Rwanda Conflicts","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Power (physics); Political science; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000753817,0.00005065745,0.0001050456,0.0000402855,0.0001644993,0.00003089091,0.000214913,0.00006413837,0.0001140461],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001670193,0.000023263,0.00003224816,0.0003007008,0.0002693441,0.0000456627,0.00004468367,0.0001014761,0.000005983288],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000009206376,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003828278,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00528593,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.08486069,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993713,0.0001321599,0.0001075857,0.00009676834,0.000163355,0.0001287861],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995787,0.0001939303,0.00002619918,0.0001263871,0.00004801479,0.00002677225],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001707962,0.00005558513,0.1597973,0.00001983278,0.00003697893,0.000002046145,0.1029251,0.000007514564,0.00007702151,0.6804796,0.0533668,0.003061522],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006206634,0.00001308468,0.09923153,0.00007013939,0.000008362432,1.318208e-7,0.05213202,0.00001122076,0.00009900025,0.001457843,0.8462862,0.00006978273],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.324805,0.0005636538,0.00005650103,0.1638748,0.0002932692,0.0003895793,0.000002737722,0.00001461818,0.5099999],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9637064,0.00003837311,0.00000747803,0.01503216,0.00002973488,0.000007037198,1.001604e-7,0.000001822063,0.02117687],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7929194,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9318382,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02130058347245472,"score_gpt":0.28903127380038,"score_spread":0.2677306903279252,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}