{"id":"W4413545598","doi":"10.64628/aam.ng39ehrmg","title":"Would Trump concede in 2020? A lesson from 1800","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Mathematical economics; Keynesian economics; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006187778,0.0005425714,0.000623045,0.0011716,0.01495055,0.01046889,0.001612065,0.01683029,0.0139286],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01493726,0.0003717496,0.0004779422,0.001538146,0.02156682,0.01010827,0.003502373,0.02172797,0.001578706],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.055649,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.09710072,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.8137398,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8668354,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958379,0.0005364541,0.0001038547,0.0004012859,0.001492395,0.001628099],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962392,0.0007795761,0.00014537,0.0001602436,0.001422769,0.001252887],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002954316,0.0000283876,0.0005233693,0.00005485961,0.000007083613,0.0001249866,0.004093555,0.0001277245,0.00009989845,0.7754175,0.2051503,0.01434271],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002107123,0.00001250803,0.001741743,0.0003271342,0.000007726917,0.00006143178,0.005053482,0.00009300654,0.0001049545,0.1786009,0.8139229,0.00005316939],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.009932176,0.01335229,0.0005656337,0.7389004,0.005536287,0.00002250359,0.0003080622,0.00003636413,0.2313463],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3665942,0.01388667,0.001800529,0.4421306,0.004094344,0.00008386339,0.0002323373,0.0001945816,0.1709829],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8137398,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4037637,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01785284311469056,"score_gpt":0.2952449076196348,"score_spread":0.2773920645049443,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}