{"id":"W4413803679","doi":"10.3847/2041-8213/adfa8b","title":"The Potential Danger to Satellites due to Ejecta from a 2032 Lunar Impact by Asteroid 2024 YR<sub>4</sub>","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Astrophysical Journal Letters","topic":"Astro and Planetary Science","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Athabasca University; Western University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Nuclear Safety and Security Commission; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Ejecta; Meteoroid; Astrobiology; Impact crater; Asteroid; Meteorite; Solar System; Physics; Impact energy; Interplanetary dust cloud; Asteroid belt; Geology; Astronomy; Materials science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002235326,0.0003057191,0.0002860619,0.00006068081,0.0006950391,0.0005957418,0.0009810313,0.00002546656,0.0001179811],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000009425047,0.0001692679,0.0002877607,0.0003779641,0.0001288622,0.0001970131,0.0001869996,0.0006935784,0.0004511658],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004940692,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006661766,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001770239,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000002643337,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980077,0.0002142466,0.0003204198,0.0003316741,0.0004361953,0.0006897973],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987984,0.0002832591,0.0001177762,0.0004207046,0.00004645115,0.0003333516],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001486618,0.00003728517,0.0006923048,6.059967e-7,0.0001658352,0.00001469175,0.0001773444,0.002593106,0.8510769,0.00004688749,0.08939729,0.05564911],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002880235,0.001925834,0.6874638,0.0004823163,0.000809124,0.00008719267,0.002512339,0.005314294,0.2297129,0.003176155,0.06321135,0.002424427],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9144906,0.00007366651,0.06872346,0.01554248,0.0006091068,0.0002122497,0.0002102929,0.00001253397,0.000125605],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9947563,0.000003383125,0.0007903501,0.002760734,0.001411395,0.00001000081,0.00002647882,0.00001688383,0.0002244869],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6867715,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6902546,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.003064720252735946,"score_gpt":0.2057521140620148,"score_spread":0.2026873938092789,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}