{"id":"W4413817464","doi":"10.1007/s44274-025-00334-3","title":"The politics of drought in the Middle East, case study from Iran","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Discover Environment","topic":"Transboundary Water Resource Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University","funders":"Freie Universität Berlin","keywords":"Middle East; Politics; Ancient history; Political science; Geography; History; Archaeology; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005693763,0.00009129644,0.0001019346,0.00002958638,0.0005201194,0.0001061371,0.0004412222,0.00002291261,0.00004315844],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000008936275,0.00005511835,0.00005376273,0.0001162415,0.0003742085,0.00005804612,0.0001024346,0.00009554013,0.00001351481],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001822729,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002434787,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03267517,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0144303,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985191,0.0004164348,0.0002193823,0.0001809637,0.0004222023,0.0002418867],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993734,0.0001427984,0.00004250052,0.0004157938,0.000001816275,0.00002373448],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"qualitative","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002621015,0.001694955,0.2667657,0.00001445305,0.0001803364,0.0003888646,0.6875902,0.0009216411,0.00001659056,0.03872447,0.0003959302,0.003280721],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006383673,0.00005328596,0.07527414,0.00001606847,0.00007905185,7.88235e-7,0.6144526,0.00002241272,0.00001878326,0.003207872,0.3061284,0.000108291],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":"qualitative","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9883178,0.0002191576,0.0001386532,0.003114132,0.00008983594,0.0007266411,0.00001874681,0.000006206179,0.007368778],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9977376,0.0000322279,0.00001631572,0.0002194186,0.00003859569,0.00005321271,0.000002381134,0.000005061496,0.001895201],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3057324,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9737663,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03805886609845351,"score_gpt":0.2689097860223073,"score_spread":0.2308509199238538,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}