{"id":"W4413951344","doi":"10.53300/001c.142523","title":"Why Middle Power Coalition Strategies Fail Against Great Powers","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of East Asia Security","topic":"International Relations and Foreign Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Power (physics); Middle power; Political science; Law; Physics; Politics; Thermodynamics; Foreign policy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01496243,0.0006513526,0.0005126352,0.001621329,0.006972909,0.01013768,0.001863553,0.003837404,0.009237087],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03341212,0.0003782387,0.0004569593,0.001014638,0.02183046,0.01177349,0.009345661,0.004560008,0.001961644],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003689854,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004770928,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004310437,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005707466,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9907897,0.00412881,0.0002254363,0.001062653,0.001836475,0.001956919],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9893228,0.004645267,0.001036805,0.001333388,0.001853105,0.001808545],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002631784,0.00003356006,0.00200831,0.00008835349,0.00002894151,0.0002341919,0.01370186,0.0004646731,0.0004405323,0.9413267,0.008609715,0.03303692],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000521345,0.0001008376,0.002012948,0.0004050139,0.00002510814,0.000254247,0.02497434,0.001678962,0.0009414759,0.7810822,0.1884345,0.00003822956],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1753292,0.003118221,0.05007461,0.08037776,0.001012173,0.0002366646,0.00004677018,0.0003121552,0.6894925],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9810604,0.0004823604,0.003180876,0.004155685,0.00009185225,0.0001130821,0.00001415977,0.00008863842,0.01081294],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01496243,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07912976,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01732721779675688,"score_gpt":0.3086916342118863,"score_spread":0.2913644164151294,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}